Tacklin' Fantasy: Week 9 outlook

Tacklin' Fantasy: Week 9 outlook
October 30, 2013, 11:45 am

Through seven games, Denarius Moore is leading the Raiders with 27 receptions, 431 yards and four touchdowns. (AP)

Week 8 Recap

Starts:
Colin Kaepernick: 10-16-164 yds, TD , 7 rush-54-2
Darren McFadden: 24-73-2 TDs, 2 rec-5-0
Jarrett Boykin: 5-89-0
Pierre Garcon: 7-46-0
Kris Durham: 4-54-0

Sits:
Terrelle Pryor: 10-19-88 yds, 2 INTs, 9 rush-106-TD
Mike James: 10-39-0, 4 rec-25-0
Josh Gordon: 5-132-1
Jordan Cameron: 4-81-0
* Bold = correct

In 10 career games against the Packers, Matt Forte has scored just one touchdown. (AP)

Editor's note: Welcome to the weekly installment of "Tacklin' Fantasy," our recap of the news and trends you need to keep top of mind for fantasy dominance

49er to start: No one
The 49ers are on a bye Week 9, sit everyone.

Raider to start: Denarius Moore, WR
Last week, in the Raiders’ 21-18 victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers, receiver Denarius Moore was virtually nonexistent with two receptions for 32 yards. Look for that to change as the Raiders play the second worst pass defense in the NFL, the Philadelphia Eagles. Shifty receivers have had great games against the Eagles this year -- Week 2: Eddie Royal 7-90-3; Week 3: Donnie Avery 7-141-0; Week 4: Wes Welker 7-76-2; Week 7: Terrance Williams 6-71-1; Week 8: Victor Cruz 7-86-0. The stats speak for themselves, start Moore.

49er to sit: Everyone
All 53.

Raider to sit: Darren McFadden, RB
While Darren McFadden looked great last week -- 24 carries for 73 yards and two touchdowns -- the Raiders' Week 9 opponent has been stingy against the run. The Eagles haven’t had a running back rush for over 100 yards all year. Don’t expect McFadden to repeat last week’s performance. He's still only averaging 3.7 yards per carry.

NFL trend: Case Study
Houston Texans head coach Gary Kubiak announced that University of Houston alum Case Keenum will start over incumbent starter Matt Schaub in Week 9. Keenum started in Week 7 against the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs with good results -- 271 passing yards and one touchdown. In his junior and senior years, Keenum completed over 70 percent of his passes, leading the NCAA in passing yards and touchdowns. Texans receivers Andre Johnson and DeAndre Hopkins shouldn’t taper from their normal statistics, and may be better. The bigger issue is the Texans' run game, as starters Arian Foster (hamstring) and Ben Tate (ribs) are hampered by injuries, and may be out. Keep an eye on recent running back signee Deji Karim in case he gets the start.

In Week 9 the Texans play the Colts, who have been susceptible to the pass -- 277.7 yards and six touchdowns through the air in their past three games. Look for Hopkins, Johnson and Keenum to have good games this week, as all should be started.

Buy-low candidate: Darren Sproles, RB, New Orleans Saints
In the past his three years with the Saints, running back Darren Sproles has averaged 5.5 receptions for 48.4 yards per game. Though he had just four receptions for zero yards last week, as the passing back of the Saints, Sproles is a matchup nightmare. With the Saints' No. 1 target, Jimmy Graham, limited from plantar fasciitis -- played 26 percent of snaps in Week 8 -- and No. 2 target Marques Colston's inability to get open -- six receptions for 44 yards past three games -- the 5-foot-6 Sproles should be a more integral part of the offense going forward.

Sell-high candidate: Knowshon Moreno, RB, Denver Broncos
This year, Denver Broncos running back Knowshon Moreno has been a borderline fantasy god. He has already scored a career high eight rushing touchdowns and is on pace to set career highs in every rushing category as well as receptions. But, he hasn’t played more than eight games in a season since 2010 (Broncos have played eight games in 2013) and hasn’t topped 43 rushing yards in any of the previous three weeks. While the Broncos are on a bye this week, it may be a good time to think about selling Moreno, especially with two games against the Kansas City Chiefs daunting defense looming.

Star to sit: Matt Forte, RB, Chicago Bears
With Jay Cutler injured and out for Week 9, the offensive focus shifts to Chicago Bears running back Matt Forte. With Josh McCown starting -- career 58.2 completion percentage and 38 touchdowns to 44 interceptions -- the Bears’ Week 9 opponent, the Green Bay Packers, should key in on Forte and the running game. The Packers run defense ranks fourth in the NFL, giving up 83.6 yards per game. In his 10 career games against the Packers, Forte hasn't fared well, scoring just one touchdown.

No-namer to start: Jacoby Jones, WR, Baltimore Ravens
In the two games since his MCL sprain, Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Jacoby Jones has six catches for 74 yards. He's healthy and won't be limited in snaps this week. With the Ravens' love affair with passing -- 38.4 attempts per game -- he should produce. The Ravens play the Cleveland Browns and "Haden Island," but Joe Haden should shadow Torrey Smith and open up more opportunities for Jones.